Avian flu (H7N9) in 2013

[skylee]

Further to a thread on avian flu started in 2004,

Four human cases of Influenza A (H7N9) in Jiangsu verified by NHFPC

國家衞計委確認江蘇四宗人類感染甲型流感Ｈ７Ｎ９個案

Views?

[gato]

Two have died of the bird flu in Shanghai.

[rezaf]

So that's why I'm so sick

[skylee]

A report on Wenweipo -> H7N9蔓延長三角 「禽」下浙江

內地H7N9禽流感病例在長三角地區廣泛出現。繼上海、安徽和江蘇後，浙江也發現人類感染H7N9禽流感病例。浙江省衛生廳昨晚通報，指確診2例人感染H7N9病例，其中一名患者死亡。目前，全國確診人感染H7N9禽流感病例數目已升至9人，其中3人死亡。中國傳染病診治專家指出，有關病毒的傳染源至今未能確定。

[roddy]

廣泛出現? 9 people isn't 廣泛, even if you put 'em at opposite ends of the country. Wake me up when we have human-to-human transmission.

[Guest realmayo]

Someone in Foreign Policy magazine speculates it could be linked to those dead pigs in the river.

http://www.foreignpo...ina_pigs_virus#

I'll happily admit I got to that link via the Daily Mail website which has much better photos of dead pigs.

Plus it has reader comments. I suspect Roddy of posting there:

Three dead? There's a pandemic on its way, millions will die and I'm going to live in a hermetically sealed bubble until its all over!

- Yuman, Treasure Island, United Kingdom, 4/4/2013 7:43

[imron]

Plus it has reader comments. I suspect Roddy of posting there:

The similarity between those posts is almost too striking to ignore!

[roddy]

You guys are taking the wrong medicine. There are weeks to go before I inflate my hermetically sealed bubble.

There's a perfectly rational* explanation for the dead pigs in the river. There are so many pig farms upstream you lose gazillions of pigs naturally - pigs get ill and die of loads of stuff. 5 million pigs, 1% death rate = 50,000 stiff pigs. Those are conservative figures. Normally someone buys the diseased pigs and ships 'em to Shanghai where they're sold as meat. However they arrested those guys, as apparently the socialists in Beijing (seen Xi Jinping's birth certificate? I heard he went to school with Obama, in Kenya) don't like this kind of free enterprise. So now the farmers are dumping them in the river. See. Also, the pig carcasses have tested negative for bird flu. So really, the porcine floaters are actually an indication that the people of Shanghai are safer than they were before, as now they're not eating the disease-reservoirs. They're just watching flotillas of deceased bacon-factories float serenely down the river.

*In Crazytown. I mean, it all makes sense in a way, but Jesus, thousands of pig corpses in a river. Then again, it's probably so polluted you could set fire to it and make pork soup.

[Guest realmayo]

Pan Huimin, a Zhulin resident who is in custody on suspicion of dealing in dead pigs told CCTV there was "a 100%" correlation between his arrest and the dead pigs incident."

Fortunate that CCTV were able to interview the guy in prison, and fortunate that what he had to say was so reassuring!

[gato]

Four have died of the bird flu in Shanghai as of April 4.

[roddy]

And a poultry slaughter. Still no confirmed human-human transmission though.

[陳德聰]

My two most recent texts from 上海快讯:

截至今18:30、本市新确诊2例人感染H7N9禽流感病例、均在积极救治中、两病例的密切接触者目前均未发现异常。

截至今17时、沪新确诊2例人感染H7N9禽流感病例、均在救治中。截至目前沪共发现10例人感染H7N9禽流感确诊病例、其中死亡4例。

[skylee]

20 confirmed cases, 6 dead (2 in Zhejiang, 4 in Shanghai).

From Wenweipo - 全國已報告20例H7N9禽流感病例

截至7日17時，上海新確診2例人感染H7N9禽流感病例，均在救治中。至此，目前全國共發現20例人感染H7N9禽流感確診病例，其中死亡6例。據介紹，H7N9禽流感病毒來源不明、傳播途徑不清，不排除在更大範圍內檢出的可能性。

[Guest realmayo]

Senior Colonel Dai Xu says US released virus in act of biological warfare

Full story is here. It may not be true

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2307170/Bird-flu-outbreak-Chinese-officer-accuses-United-States-secret-biological-attack-new-strain-bird-flu-killed-nine.html

[skylee]

Recent update by the HK Department of Health (the case-fatality rate is 21%) -

As of 16 April 2013, 77 cases of human infection caused by the avian influenza A(H7N9) virus have been reported from Anhui Province (3 cases including 1 death), Beijing Municipality (1 case), Henan Province (2 cases), Jiangsu Province (20 cases including 2 death), Shanghai Municipality (30 cases including 11 deaths) and Zhejiang Province (21 cases including 2 deaths) since 31 March 2013. According to available information, the onset dates of these cases were between 19 February and 12 April 2013. Sixteen patients died (case-fatality ratio=21%), more than 80% were severe cases. The median age was 63 years with a range between 4 and 87 years; 21 of them were females.

截至二零一三年四月十六日， 國家衞生和計劃生育委員會（ 國家衞計委）共報告七十七宗人類感染甲型禽流感H7N9病毒的個案，分別來自安徽省（ 三宗）、北京市（ 一宗） 、河南省（ 兩宗） 、江蘇省（ 二十宗） 、上海市（ 三十宗）和浙江省（ 二十一宗）。其中， 十六名病人死亡(個案死亡率為百份之二十一)及多於百份之八十為嚴重個案。